Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.025721 0.027758 0.029805 0.032013 0.034325 0.036669 0.039224
2025-11-16 0.021782 0.024971 0.028295 0.032005 0.036015 0.040207 0.044906
2025-11-23 0.019170 0.023017 0.027140 0.031858 0.037075 0.042641 0.048998
2025-11-30 0.017233 0.021540 0.026266 0.031785 0.038004 0.044747 0.052563
2025-12-07 0.015400 0.020000 0.025161 0.031305 0.038344 0.046086 0.055176
2025-12-14 0.013813 0.018612 0.024113 0.030778 0.038532 0.047171 0.057430
2025-12-21 0.012277 0.017174 0.022909 0.029978 0.038323 0.047737 0.059035
2025-12-28 0.011668 0.016811 0.022933 0.030581 0.039710 0.050102 0.062671
2026-01-04 0.010877 0.016167 0.022573 0.030685 0.040477 0.051726 0.065439
2026-01-11 0.010062 0.015438 0.022066 0.030572 0.040955 0.052988 0.067767
2026-01-18 0.009625 0.015171 0.022106 0.031108 0.042194 0.055135 0.071122
2026-01-25 0.008976 0.014584 0.021712 0.031080 0.042729 0.056433 0.073472
2026-02-01 0.008295 0.013946 0.021263 0.031008 0.043255 0.057782 0.075969
2026-02-08 0.007682 0.013375 0.020882 0.031016 0.043884 0.059270 0.078658
2026-02-15 0.007064 0.012756 0.020406 0.030873 0.044301 0.060486 0.081012
2026-02-22 0.006526 0.012216 0.020005 0.030802 0.044790 0.061775 0.083445
2026-03-01 0.005892 0.011494 0.019322 0.030331 0.044747 0.062394 0.085054
2026-03-08 0.005298 0.010788 0.018629 0.029815 0.044621 0.062890 0.086496
2026-03-15 0.004671 0.009987 0.017761 0.029031 0.044120 0.062896 0.087320
2026-03-22 0.004501 0.009902 0.017909 0.029622 0.045405 0.065139 0.090902
2026-03-29 0.004204 0.009587 0.017710 0.029724 0.046042 0.066561 0.093470
2026-04-05 0.003870 0.009189 0.017368 0.029613 0.046386 0.067607 0.095567
2026-04-12 0.003724 0.009102 0.017483 0.030138 0.047574 0.069727 0.099009